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Showing posts from January, 2014

After a Bloomberg Poll

Will 2014 be a great year for investments? Do the investors truly believe that 2014 will be the best year since 2009? Let’s take a look at the poll results on various indicators discussed in this survey. About the economies 72% of the global investors have the confidence that the US economy is improving. In that, 22% think the US economy is stable and 6% say it is deteriorating. Global investors are not hopeful about Chinese and Brazilian economy. It's not a surprise when 21% of the global investors opined that they don’t have any idea about Brazilian economy. Which are the main factors going to drive the US economy in 2014? Is it the increased oil and gas production or more companies investing due to the rise in confidence? Whether the growth in the job market will act as a catalyst? Or the improvement in real-estate and auto industry? The increase in the US population will demand more houses. In the US one birth happens in every 8 seconds, a death in every 12 seconds, and one...

Will the Brent Crude Really Come Down in 2014?

Brent Crude price showed the lowest of this month which is $106.77 and may go down to $80/barrel according to the Saxo Bank prediction. Will price determinants, supply and demand and market sentiment work in favor of Brent Crude? The report says no. If no the why? Experts looks at the increase production from Saudi and rising non conventional method of oil extraction. EIA, Energy Information Administration expects production from non-OPEC countries would grow to around 2million year on year. The oil production from Libya, Iran are supposed to rise as the civil unrest and other restrictions imposed are getting eased. Among the futures traders, hedge fund short position, increased supply of the US shale oil, and solved transportation issues also will contribute to the rein on the climbing oil prices. The advanced technology used by the US has helped them in extracting more oil from shale rock ie Kerogen oil. Even though production of shale oil is highly underestimated by the mark...